Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 187.991635 224.203528 268.926203 329.461324 411.301506 521.346256 6.866525e+02
2025-01-19 138.908030 179.213141 235.351153 323.284593 466.224233 708.676425 1.207415e+03
2025-01-26 121.861927 166.608692 234.935938 355.641853 587.455805 1086.404949 2.602306e+03
2025-02-02 114.361557 164.427955 247.437120 411.926954 787.935348 1864.614670 7.877059e+03
2025-02-09 100.151633 148.094607 231.404570 408.262868 860.754896 2459.639764 1.906972e+04
2025-02-16 90.721728 137.618615 222.727946 415.749004 969.615019 3459.575536 8.124875e+04
2025-02-23 83.141221 128.886823 215.078672 422.436927 1085.690204 4951.877996 2.418289e+06
2025-03-02 77.421080 122.486946 210.479426 434.786756 1237.986592 7643.602669 NaN
2025-03-09 72.025665 115.846955 203.950366 439.798934 1373.938198 11747.248497 NaN
2025-03-16 65.959398 107.140350 191.408118 423.882301 1406.311204 15373.843747 NaN
2025-03-23 63.257401 104.589112 191.918269 446.703048 1668.789596 33222.825968 NaN
2025-03-30 58.422439 97.253064 180.319264 428.075668 1680.332540 45788.838565 NaN
2025-04-06 54.832338 92.507021 175.105949 432.713754 1886.840580 123930.606234 NaN
2025-04-13 50.856890 86.608773 166.365263 423.245378 2000.044286 372718.383059 NaN
2025-04-20 49.888927 86.814701 172.588962 471.011360 2747.262999 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 50.052481 89.435380 185.653818 555.993831 4475.117591 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 47.128925 84.875023 178.504199 550.391781 4962.938718 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 45.008785 81.890594 175.216822 561.846353 5970.126373 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 43.055529 79.074913 171.911671 572.112871 7202.680590 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 41.480651 76.968455 170.310938 591.152803 9195.476644 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 39.782695 74.400494 166.892410 598.910290 11206.725241 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 37.567232 70.410575 158.545266 574.335748 11358.960489 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 36.703144 69.588954 159.909783 609.624288 16763.728962 NaN NaN